25 basis points
The sources focus on whether another 25-basis-point Federal Reserve increase is likely by December, rather than on the size of the move itself. Most market commentary puts the probability of an October hike near 20% or effectively priced out, while December expectations remain around 80–86% or above 85%.3456 StoneX’s Natalie Scott-Gray uses a further 25-basis-point increase as her base case, citing sticky inflation and a tightening bias.2
From the window to Oct 13, 05:30 ET — this window's take is still to be written.
Where the voices land
Nobody took a position this week.
Mentions
5 this weekStories it travels in
i
The stories
- ○ a voice, on the left
- ◌ a voice raising half of these
- ● a subject, on the right, under its story
- ⌒ a line is a voice raising a subject — thicker, more items; colour is the story
The stories this entity travels in: on the right, each story with the subjects seen alongside it; on the left, the voices that raised them, and a line for every subject a voice raised, bundled by story. Tap a voice to light everything it raises, a subject for who raised it, a story for its own lines. The crumb goes back.
Who brings it up
- Josh Linville 4 mentions
- Michael Boutros 2 mentions
- Dan Nathan 1 mention
- Fiona Cincotta 1 mention
- Caleb Silver 1 mention
- Natalie Scott-Gray 1 mention
See what your own voices say about 25 basis points, every morning.
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