50%
The period uses 50% mainly as a threshold for market probabilities, drawdowns and retracements. Kathryn Rooney Vera said odds of a Fed hike were around 30%, although some contacts put them at 50%; economists generally favoured a hold 3. Jim Bianco assigned a less-than-50% probability to the Fed chair being outvoted by a rate-hiking majority, but said the probability was above zero 1. In commodities, Jim Rickards and Grant Williams discussed 50% declines as historically meaningful but interpreted them differently depending on the asset and context 45.
Where the voices land
Nobody took a position in july 2026.
Mentions
7 in July 2026Stories it travels in
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The stories
- ○ a voice, on the left
- ◌ a voice raising half of these
- ● a subject, on the right, under its story
- ⌒ a line is a voice raising a subject — thicker, more items; colour is the story
The stories this entity travels in: on the right, each story with the subjects seen alongside it; on the left, the voices that raised them, and a line for every subject a voice raised, bundled by story. Tap a voice to light everything it raises, a subject for who raised it, a story for its own lines. The crumb goes back.
Who brings it up
- Erik Townsend 3 mentions
- Patrick Ceresna 3 mentions
- GoldRepublic Global 2 mentions
- Max Wiethe 2 mentions
- Masil Bagnan 2 mentions
- Kathryn Rooney Vera 1 mention
- Adam Parker 1 mention
- Jack Farley 1 mention
See what your own voices say about 50%, every morning.
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