Marko Papic focused on macro, geopolitics, and AI infrastructure. He argued consensus doubts that Treasury will curb yields, which to him sets up a long-bonds trade, and he tracked White House policy resolve returning to normal after a brief March breakout 38. On geopolitics, he said the US and Iran are settling into a kinetic equilibrium, while Ukraine’s battlefield equilibrium is breaking because Ukraine can now impose pain on Russia 6. He separated AI model economics from datacenter economics, contending datacenters are profitable and AI capex could rise even if frontier models fail, framing price wars as supply-driven 71011.
On the record
last 31 days · 2 positionsLatest positions
- MPMarko PapicHawkish on HM Treasury Papic thinks the consensus that the Treasury will not rein in yields is wrong, so it is probably time to go long bonds. “Probably time to go long bonds.” Open the post Everybody... but I mean EVERYBODY (other than ON… · 24 Aug
- MPMarko PapicImproving on Ukraine Ukraine's position is improving as it can now impose pain on Russia, breaking the kinetic equilibrium. “the kinetic equilibrium that has been in place in Ukraine since late 2023 is now definitively breaking up, mainly because Ukraine can now impose pain on Russia” Open the post Iran and US are settling into a kinetic equilibr… · 10 Aug
Their output
11 in August 2026Stories it travels in
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The stories
- ○ a voice, on the left
- ◌ a voice raising half of these
- ● a subject, on the right, under its story
- ⌒ a line is a voice raising a subject — thicker, more items; colour is the story
The stories this entity travels in: on the right, each story with the subjects seen alongside it; on the left, the voices that raised them, and a line for every subject a voice raised, bundled by story. Tap a voice to light everything it raises, a subject for who raised it, a story for its own lines. The crumb goes back.
Who brings it up
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What they talk about
- AI 2 items
- Iran 2 items
- HM Treasury 2 items
- BCA Research 1 item
- AI investment boom 1 item
- US 1 item
- BCA Alpha report 1 item
- Liberation Day 1 item
See what your own voices say about Marko Papic, every morning.
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