unemployment rate
Most voices note a still-low, even falling, unemployment rate in the U.S., with some citing a trend lower toward ~4.1% and continued job gains; this underpins expectations of a hawkish Fed as full employment is deemed met 31415. Several guests argue the headline rate masks softness: hiring and quits have fallen, payroll growth is slow, and participation dynamics can keep the rate low; some warn underemployment (U6) is higher and could rise materially 48121. Consumer/job anxiety is elevated, with rising expectations that unemployment will be higher in a year, even as measured unemployment has “changed little” lately 915. Abroad, Australia’s unemployment near 4.5% is seen giving the RBA room to hike, with risk of caution if it drifts toward 5% 7.
Where the voices land
All voices 4 voices1 falling3 rising
Falling
- ATAdam TaggartFalling He is surprised the unemployment rate has not risen more, with people still able to stay employed or find work. “I would have expected a higher unemployment rate and worse employment numbers at this point” ▶ 33:09 Market Starting To Crack Under High Bond Yields?… · 26 Sept
Rising
- DDDanielle DiMartino BoothRising She cites research showing that unemployment rises as industries are more exposed to AI. “as you go out on a spectrum of industries that are more affected by artificial intelligence, by AI, the unemployment rate rises” ▶ 0:40 Economy’s MAJOR CRACKS: Why the Fed Got Everythi… · 24 Sept
- AWAnna WongRising A tiny increase in labor force participation will easily push the unemployment rate up in tomorrow's jobs report. “just a tiny increase in labor force participation will easily push unemployment rate up” Open the post For tomorrow’s jobs report, just a tiny increase… · 3 Sept
Sharply rising
- LGLaks GanapathiSharply rising Ganapathi expects unemployment to rise, with reported data understating the real deterioration. “we expect that to go to close to ten percent or more” ▶ 17:47 LAKS GANAPATHI | Gold & gold proxies have been t… · 30 Sept
1 falling3 rising
Mentions
20 in September 2026Stories it travels in
i
The stories
- ○ a voice, on the left
- ◌ a voice raising half of these
- ● a subject, on the right, under its story
- ⌒ a line is a voice raising a subject — thicker, more items; colour is the story
The stories this entity travels in: on the right, each story with the subjects seen alongside it; on the left, the voices that raised them, and a line for every subject a voice raised, bundled by story. Tap a voice to light everything it raises, a subject for who raised it, a story for its own lines. The crumb goes back.
Who brings it up
- David Lin 4 mentions
- Joseph Wang 3 mentions
- Jack Farley 2 mentions
- The Kobeissi Letter 2 mentions
- Quinn Thompson 2 mentions
- Adam Taggart 2 mentions
- Josh Linville 2 mentions
- Steve H. Hanke 1 mention
See what your own voices say about unemployment rate, every morning.
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