deficit
Discussion focused on deficits as a growing constraint on bond markets, interest rates and policy. Ben Chabot argued that cutting the deficit would materially help, while warning that high borrowing costs can themselves make debt dynamics unsustainable through a self-reinforcing cycle 2. Stephanie Pomboy and Craig Shapiro described possible future deficit deterioration, whereas Dario Perkins rejected the view that the US is currently in fiscal dominance 3811. European examples centred on France’s contested consolidation plans and Italy’s aim to return below the EU limit 479.
From the window to Oct 8, 05:30 ET — this window's take is still to be written.
Where the voices land
All voices 2 voices2 rising
Sharply rising
- LGLuke GromenSharply rising Expects an austerity-driven US recession to push the US deficit to 17-25% of GDP, larger than WW2. “austerity-driven US recession would drive US deficit to (13-17%) + (4-7%) = 17-25% of GDP, or a bigger deficit than WW2” Open the post ONE OF BIGGEST VARIANT PERCEPTION IN MARKETS IMO… · 8 Oct
- ADAdrian DaySharply rising Expects the U.S. financing situation to get meaningfully worse even without the deficit rising or the Fed acting. “The financing situation, without the deficit going up, without the Fed doing anything, is only going to get worse and meaningfully worse” ▶ 8:32 1987 Black Monday Repeat: How Close Are We? | Ad… · 8 Oct
2 rising
Mentions
14 this weekStories it travels in
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The stories
- ○ a voice, on the left
- ◌ a voice raising half of these
- ● a subject, on the right, under its story
- ⌒ a line is a voice raising a subject — thicker, more items; colour is the story
The stories this entity travels in: on the right, each story with the subjects seen alongside it; on the left, the voices that raised them, and a line for every subject a voice raised, bundled by story. Tap a voice to light everything it raises, a subject for who raised it, a story for its own lines. The crumb goes back.
Who brings it up
- Max Wiethe 2 mentions
- Walter Bloomberg 2 mentions
- Gary Bohm 2 mentions
- Ben Inker 2 mentions
- Josh Linville 2 mentions
- Robin Wigglesworth 1 mention
- Jack Farley 1 mention
- Ed Zitron 1 mention
See what your own voices say about deficit, every morning.
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