Ben Carlson

Latest positions

• BCBen CarlsonStrongly hawkish on Federal Reserve System Carlson expects the Fed to keep hiking rates. “So the Fed is probably gonna keep hiking rates” Open the post So the Fed is probably gonna keep hiking rates … · 23 Sept
• BCBen CarlsonBullish on hyperscaler Carlson expects AI hyperscaler spending to keep growing despite rate hikes. “And probably won't slow down AI hyperscaler spending” Open the post So the Fed is probably gonna keep hiking rates … · 23 Sept
• BCBen CarlsonRising on inflation Carlson doubts inflation will come down even as the Fed hikes. “but inflation won't really go lower?” Open the post So the Fed is probably gonna keep hiking rates … · 23 Sept
• BCBen CarlsonStrongly bullish on bond index fund A bond index fund tracking the Agg is attractive right now because its 5.2% average yield to maturity is unusually high versus the past 15 years. “if you own a bond index fund that tracks the Agg you're getting 5.2% avg yield to maturity right now” Open the post I know everyone hates bonds right now b/c inflat… · 11 Sept
• BCBen CarlsonStrongly bullish on the Agg The Agg offers a 5.2% yield to maturity, a level investors would have welcomed at any point in the past 15 years. “Investors would have killed for yields this high at any point in the past 15 years or so” Open the post I know everyone hates bonds right now b/c inflat… · 11 Sept
• BCBen CarlsonRisk rising sharply on AI Carlson frames AI as carrying a 10% chance of an extinction-level event, a large tail risk. “there is a 10% chance AI might cause an extinction level event for humanity” Open the post AI has the chance to improve EPS growth for the … · 9 Sept